North Korea Fires 2 Short-Range Ballistic Missiles Off East Coast

David Maxwell Comment:  “This is business as usual.  north Korea is showing its true colors.  It is especially interesting in light of the report today that Matt Pottinger (assume it was him since he is a senior US official) met with the north Koreans at Panmunjom last week while Bolton was in Seoul and they said that talks would happen sometime “soon.”

Since Trump has treated the last two missile tests as nothing to worry about the regime has pretty much been given the green light to test as much as they want.  

This may not be all a message to us -it may be that they want to perfect this missile because they intend to field it and provide a real threat to the ROK.  The north has to complete testing before it fields a new system.  Given the procurement by the ROK of the F-35 (which will be based at Cheongju AB not far from Camp Humphreys and Osan AB) the regime may believe it has to field the most effective weapon it can to be able to target the F-35 (especially since the F-35 should give the ROK a capability to contribute to its “kill chain” concept for missile defense – to penetrate north Korean air defenses and target missile launch systems..
The obvious messaging could be intended for the possible upcoming working negotiations and the upcoming exercises as well.  It is likely a combination of all of the above.
I am reminded of a number of words from Admiral C. Turner Joy:”
“Communists regard any concessions made by their opponents as a sign go weakness.  The Communists reason that they opponents would not accept any part of Communist proposals if any other choice were available.”
“Negotiate when, and only when negotiations serve the cause of  freedom best.”
“We must not at any point negotiate merely because the enemy wants to do so.”
“Negotiations, to the Communists, were n to a means of bargaining but a scene set to make world propaganda and demand a political price.  To this end they manufactured evidence to discredit the United Nations Command, as in the case of their germ warfare charges.  They welshed on promises as soon as they were made, they traded on Western concern for human suffering and they yielded a point only when land, sea or air attack threatened their military position.”
But this summary of north Korean/communist negotiating tactics and strategy provided by a friend and Korea expert derived from C. Turner Joy is spot on and something we should absolutely consider:
They key lessons learned then (during the Armistice negotiations) still apply today — dealing from maximum strength while sustaining or increasing pressure throughout negotiations, never voluntarily conceding anything “in good faith”, not being fearful of terminating negotiations if they’re unproductive, not backing away from confronting China (or the US or anyone) head on when necessary, etc. etc.

(4th LD) N. Korea fires 2 short-range ballistic missiles off east coast: JCS | Yonhap News Agency · by 고병준 · July 31, 2019

(ATTN: UPDATES throughout)
By Koh Byung-joon and Lee Haye-ah

SEOUL/WASHINGTON, July 31 (Yonhap) — North Korea fired two short-range ballistic missiles off its east coast on Wednesday, South Korea’s Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) said, the second such launch in less than a week.

The first missile was launched at 5:06 a.m., and the second at 5:27 a.m., from the Kalma area near the North’s eastern port of Wonsan, according to the JCS.

Both are estimated to have flown about 250 kilometers at an approximate altitude of 30 km, the JCS said, adding that the South Korean and U.S. militaries are analyzing more details.

Defense Minister Jeong Kyeong-doo said the missiles were identified as a different type from previous models launched by North Korea, but did not elaborate.

The launches come six days after North Korea fired two short-range ballistic missiles from the same area into the East Sea in its first provocation since May. Those missiles flew some 600 kilometers and were identified as “KN-23,” or the North’s version of Russia’s Iskander ballistic missile.

“Successive missile launches by North Korea are not conducive to efforts to reduce tensions on the Korean Peninsula and we call for a halt to these acts,” the JCS said in a statement.

After last week’s missile firings, the North’s state media said that the launches were designed to send a “solemn” warning to South Korea over its plan to conduct joint military drills with the U.S. next month and purchase high-tech fighter jets from the ally.

Following the latest launches, Defense Minister Jeong said that North Korea should be regarded as an “enemy” if it carries out provocations that threaten South Korea.

“North Korea’s regime and military are of course included in the concept of an enemy if they threaten and provoke us,” Jeong told a forum held earlier in the day in Seoul. It was the strongest expression he has used to describe the North since taking office last year.

The United States responded cautiously.

“We are aware of reports of a missile launch from North Korea, and we will continue to monitor the situation,” a State Department spokesperson told Yonhap News Agency on condition of anonymity.

The series of launches comes as Washington has sought to restart working-level talks on dismantling the North’s nuclear and ballistic missile programs in line with an agreement reached when U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un held a surprise meeting at the inter-Korean border last month.

Despite last week’s missile launches, the U.S. has remained upbeat about the prospects for talks with the North, with Trump dismissing last week’s missiles as “smaller ones” that many countries test. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo also said Monday he hoped the discussions will resume “very soon.”

Pompeo also described last week’s launches as a negotiating tactic that allowed the talks to move forward. While noting the U.S. commitment to diplomacy, the State Department urged North Korea to refrain from further “provocations.”

Trump insisted earlier Tuesday that he has a good relationship with Kim.

“My relationship with Kim Jong-un is a very good one, as I’m sure you’ve seen,” he told reporters at the White House. “We’ll see what happens. I can’t tell you what’s going to happen.”

The North has also renewed its commitment to talks.

According to U.S. news reports, North Korean and U.S. officials held a secret meeting at the truce village of Panmunjom last week, where the North Koreans expressed a willingness to resume working-level nuclear talks very soon.

U.N. Security Council resolutions ban North Korea from launching ballistic missiles. On Monday, the U.S. Treasury Department sanctioned a Vietnam-based North Korean individual for his alleged involvement in the weapons program. · by 고병준 · July 31, 2019

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